Simon Hunt

Continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz could disrupt oil supplies, cause fuel shortages, weaken global growth, and increase financial market risks.
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Escalating tensions could disrupt global manufacturing, increasing recession risks and adding further pressure to an already fragile global economy.
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An outlook warning of recession, weaker manufacturing, falling markets, and a prolonged stagflation cycle if geopolitical tensions escalate and global uncertainty continues through the coming years.
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The data tells a different story. Global manufacturing was already peaking.
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Is the Global Financial System About to Change?
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The real battle is over the Strait of Hormuz. The latest U.S. strikes indicate the conflict continues.
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Government policies helped ease short-term supply pressures by releasing inventories, but this temporary relief may come at the cost of higher future prices for the products refined from oil.
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Read the full comparison of February and June 2026 prices to discover the striking gap between quoted crude oil futures and the prices of key oil products.
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